We live in a world with incomplete, imperfect, and sometimes misleading information.
When we make decisions, we use the information available to us to make predictions about what might happen in the future. The more accurate this information is, the better our predictions can be. Thinking probabilistically empowers us to identify what factors are under our control and how to respond proactively. We learn to apply tools and strategies to deeply understand our choices, manage risks, and give ourselves the best chance of an outcome we prefer.
Understanding how to think probabilistically is one of the four K-12 Learning Domains of Decision Education.