Lesson Plan,Model Resource

Degrees of Confidence, Expected Value and Expected Utility

Students will learn to apply degrees of confidence to predictions and use expected value/utility calculations in decision-making. Through interactive exercises and real-world scenarios, they will develop skills in assigning probability estimates and evaluating outcomes quantitatively to make more informed choices.

This lesson plan is part of the “Developing a Decision Education Course” instructional model. To learn more about the model and to view the scope and sequence, click here.

Objectives

  • Adding degrees of confidence to predictions and estimations.
  • Using calculations of Expected Value and Expected Utility to make decisions.

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