The Student Forecasting Tournament is a ten-week online tournament open to all US-based teachers and their high school students. To get started, teachers pre-register themselves and confirm eligibility. Teachers then register student teams made up of four students. Each teacher must register a minimum of two teams, and are welcome to register additional teams.
The tournament is made up of five, two-week rounds. For each round, five questions are released and students are challenged to predict the outcome for each question, provide their rationale, and make their best estimation at the probability that the event will or won’t occur.
During each round, teachers use a modest amount of class time to teach forecasting concepts, foster discussion, review leaderboards, and provide students with time to collaborate with their team. Each student inputs their own forecast into the private, online forecasting platform and receives a Brier score. A team’s score is the average of all four team members’ individual Brier scores.
Throughout the tournament, prizes are given out each round to the top three teams on the leaderboard. Team ranking is based on the team’s score. In order to qualify for top cash prizes, teams need to submit forecasts for 100% of the questions.